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新興アジアの19年成長率見通し、5.7%に据え置き-アジア開銀

  • インフレ率予想は2.6%と、従来の2.5%から引き上げた
  • 中国GDP成長率は6.3%と予想-インドは7%に下方修正

アジア開発銀行(ADB)は最新見通しで、新興アジアの2019年経済成長率見通しを5.7%に据え置いた。インフレ率予想は2.6%と、従来の2.5%から引き上げた。

  • 中国の国内総生産(GDP)については19年の成長率を6.3%と予想し、従来と変わらず-20年は6.1%
    • インフレ率予想は19年が2.3%と、従来の1.9%から引き上げ-20年は2%
  • インドの19年GDP成長率見通しは7%と、これまでの7.2%から下方修正-20年は7.2%
    • インフレ率予想は19年について4.1%と、従来の4.3%から引き下げ-20年は4.4%
20192019202020202018
RevisedPreviousRevisedPreviousActual
Annual GDP Growth
Developing Asia5.7%5.7%5.6%5.6%5.9%
Central Asia4.3%4.2%4.2%4.2%4.3%
Kazakhstan3.6%3.5%3.3%3.3%4.1%
East Asia5.6%5.7%5.5%5.5%6.0%
Hong Kong, China2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%3.0%
China6.3%6.3%6.1%6.1%6.6%
South Korea2.4%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.7%
Taipei, China2.2%2.2%2.0%2.0%2.6%
South Asia6.6%6.8%6.7%6.9%6.6%
India7.0%7.2%7.2%7.3%6.8%
Southeast Asia4.8%4.9%4.9%5.0%5.1%
Indonesia5.2%5.2%5.3%5.3%5.2%
Malaysia4.5%4.5%4.7%4.7%4.7%
Philippines6.2%6.4%6.4%6.4%6.2%
Singapore2.4%2.6%2.5%2.6%3.1%
Thailand3.5%3.9%3.6%3.7%4.1%
Vietnam6.8%6.8%6.7%6.7%7.1%
The Pacific3.5%3.5%3.2%3.2%1.0%
20192019202020202018
RevisedPreviousRevisedPreviousActual
Annual Inflation Growth
Developing Asia2.6%2.5%2.6%2.5%2.4%
Central Asia8.1%7.8%7.1%7.2%8.3%
Kazakhstan5.5%6.0%5.0%5.5%6.0%
East Asia2.1%1.8%1.9%1.8%2.0%
Hong Kong, China2.3%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.4%
China2.3%1.9%2.0%1.8%2.1%
South Korea1.1%1.4%1.4%1.4%1.5%
Taipei, China1.1%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.3%
South Asia4.5%4.7%5.1%4.9%3.6%
India4.1%4.3%4.4%4.6%3.4%
Southeast Asia2.4%2.6%2.7%2.7%2.7%
Indonesia3.2%3.2%3.3%3.3%3.2%
Malaysia1.0%2.0%2.0%2.7%1.0%
Philippines3.0%3.8%3.5%3.5%5.2%
Singapore0.7%0.7%0.9%0.9%0.4%
Thailand1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.1%
Vietnam3.5%3.5%3.8%3.8%3.5%
The Pacific3.6%3.7%3.9%4.0%3.9%

原題:ADB Keeps 2019 Growth Forecast for Developing Asia at 5.7%(抜粋)

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