訂正:ブルームバーグ景気調査-6月調査:総括表

ブルームバーグ・ニュースが 民間調査機関を対象に調査したGDP、主要指標およびマーケット関連 項目の予想の総括表は以下の通り。調査期間は6月16日-6月20日。

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                          2Q     3Q     4Q     1Q     2Q     CY     FY
                         2008   2008   2008   2009   2009   2008   2008
========================================================================
Real GDP QOQ%            -0.1%  0.2%   0.3%   0.4%   0.4%    n/a    n/a
 Previous survey         0.1%   0.2%   0.3%   0.4%   0.4%    n/a    n/a
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Real GDP Annualized      -0.4%  0.8%   1.2%   1.6%   1.8%    n/a    n/a
 Previous survey         0.3%   0.8%   1.2%   1.2%   1.5%    n/a    n/a
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Real GDP YOY%             n/a    n/a    n/a    n/a    n/a   1.5%   1.4%
 Previous survey          n/a    n/a    n/a    n/a    n/a   1.5%   1.5%
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========================================================================
                          2Q     3Q     4Q     1Q     2Q     CY     FY
                         2008   2008   2008   2009   2009   2008   2008
========================================================================
Nominal GDP QOQ%         -0.3%  0.2%   0.2%   0.4%   0.6%   0.1%   0.6%
 Previous survey         0.1%   0.3%   0.1%   0.3%   0.7%   0.5%   0.9%
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Private consumption      -0.1%  0.1%   0.3%   0.3%   0.3%   1.3%   1.1%
 Previous survey         0.0%   0.2%   0.2%   0.2%   0.3%   1.4%   1.2%
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Residential investment   4.3%   3.4%   1.0%   -0.2%  0.2%   -2.7%  3.5%
 Previous survey         4.4%   4.0%   0.8%   -0.2%  0.2%   -2.6%  4.4%
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Capital spending         -0.5%  0.2%   0.6%   0.7%   0.7%   0.5%   0.9%
 Previous survey         0.1%   0.4%   0.4%   0.7%   0.6%   -0.2%  0.8%
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Public investment        -1.4%  -1.3%  -1.0%  -0.5%  -0.6%  -2.0%  -2.4%
 Previous survey         -1.5%  -1.5%  -1.1%  -0.7%  -0.8%  -2.3%  -2.9%
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Domestic demand (*)      0.0%   0.2%   0.2%   0.3%   0.3%   0.5%   0.7%
 Previous survey         0.1%   0.2%   0.2%   0.3%   0.3%   0.5%   0.8%
========================================================================
                          2Q     3Q     4Q     1Q     2Q     CY     FY
                         2008   2008   2008   2009   2009   2008   2008
========================================================================
External demand (*)      -0.1%  0.0%   0.0%   0.1%   0.2%   0.9%   0.6%
 Previous survey         0.0%   0.1%   0.0%   0.1%   0.2%   1.1%   0.8%
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Exports                  0.0%   0.3%   0.8%   1.2%   1.5%   8.1%   5.8%
 Previous survey         0.7%   0.4%   0.8%   1.2%   1.5%   9.5%   7.2%
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Imports                  0.3%   0.3%   0.5%   0.7%   0.8%   2.6%   2.3%
 Previous survey         0.3%   0.5%   0.6%   0.7%   0.7%   3.4%   3.1%
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GDP deflator YOY%        -1.5%  -1.2%  -0.5%  -0.1%  0.2%   -1.1%  -0.7%
 Previous survey         -1.2%  -0.8%  -0.2%  -0.1%  0.2%   -0.9%  -0.6%
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Industrial production    -0.3%  0.4%   0.5%   0.7%   0.8%    n/a   0.5%
 Previous survey         -0.4%  0.4%   0.6%   0.8%   0.6%    n/a   0.5%
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Unemployment rate        3.9%   4.0%   3.9%   3.9%   3.8%    n/a   4.0%
 Previous survey         3.9%   3.9%   3.9%   3.8%   3.8%    n/a   3.9%
========================================================================
                          2Q     3Q     4Q     1Q     2Q     CY     FY
                         2008   2008   2008   2009   2009   2008   2008
========================================================================
Consumer prices YOY%     1.3%   1.8%   1.5%   1.2%   1.0%    n/a   1.4%
 Previous survey         1.2%   1.5%   1.3%   1.1%   0.9%    n/a   1.0%
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10-Year JGB Yield        1.75%  1.65%  1.70%  1.83%  1.90%   n/a    n/a
 Previous survey         1.60%  1.60%  1.70%  1.73%  1.80%   n/a    n/a
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2-Year Notes Yield       0.93%  0.93%  0.88%  0.85%  1.00%   n/a    n/a
 Previous survey         0.75%  0.80%  0.90%  0.90%  0.85%   n/a    n/a
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Overnight call rate      0.50%  0.50%  0.50%  0.50%  0.50%   n/a    n/a
 Previous survey         0.50%  0.50%  0.50%  0.50%  0.50%   n/a    n/a
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3 month LIBOR            0.88%  0.85%  0.88%  0.88%  0.95%   n/a    n/a
 Previous survey         0.85%  0.84%  0.80%  0.80%  0.90%   n/a    n/a
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Yen Level               105.5  106.0  106.3  107.0  107.0    n/a    n/a
 Previous survey        102.5  102.5  103.5  105.0  106.0    n/a    n/a
========================================================================

注:名目GDP、GDPの項目および鉱工業生産の数値は表示がない場合、 前期比。 失業率は期間の平均。その他の指標は期末の予想値。 (*) =GDP成長率寄与度

--編集: Marco Babic

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